December 2016 Greater Boston Real Estate Market Trends

Here’s December 2016’s Monthly Indicators report from the Greater Boston Association of Realtors® showing Boston real estate market trends.


December 2016 Greater Boston Real Estate Market Trends

Most of 2016 offered the same monthly housing market highlights. The number of homes for sale was drastically down in year-over-year comparisons, along with days on market and months of supply. Meanwhile, sales and prices were up in most markets. Unemployment rates were low, wages improved and, as the year waned, we completed a contentious presidential election and saw mortgage rates increase, neither of which are expected to have a negative impact on real estate in 2017.

Condominium
  • December condo sales DOWN -1.0%
  • Median prices UP +4.8% ($465,000)
  • Condo inventory DOWN -28.6% to 994
  • Listings added to the market DOWN -6.3% over last year (433 from 462 in 2015)
Single-Family
  • December single-family home sales DOWN -10.2%
  • Median prices UP +9.4% ($547,000)
  • Single-family inventory DOWN -35.0% to 1,557
  • Listings added to the market DOWN -29.5% over last year (390 from 553 in 2015)
Multi-Family
  • December multi-family home sales DOWN -7.5%
  • Median prices UP +12.1% ($616,500)
  • Multi-family inventory DOWN -58.6% over last year (175 from 423 in 2015)
  • Listings added to market DOWN -33.3% over last year (100 from 150 in 2015)

Interested In Specific Neighborhood / Area Real Estate Market Trend Data?

 

December 2016 Greater Boston Association of Realtors® Monthly Indicators Report

Joe Schutt

Committed to representing your interests with the highest level of integrity, I am dedicated to service excellence focused on personal attention and building a solid trust relationship. I listen carefully and make my clients feel comfortable in exploring their full range of real estate options and then encourage them to relax and rely on my expertise to insure that the details run smoothly and efficiently. Google+

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October 2016 Greater Boston Real Estate Market Trends

Here’s October 2016’s Monthly Indicators report from the Greater Boston Association of Realtors® showing Boston real estate market trends.


October 2016 Greater Boston Real Estate Market Trends

As we enter the final quarter of 2016, not much has changed since the year began. Market predictions have been, in a word, predictable. A relatively comfortable pace of activity has been maintained thanks to continuing low unemployment and mortgage rates. The one basic drag on market acceleration has been inventory decline. There is little to indicate that the low inventory situation will resolve anytime soon.

Condominium
  • October condo sales DOWN -1.3%
  • Median prices UP +5.3% ($479,238)
  • Condo inventory DOWN -21.2% to 1,616
  • Listings added to the market DOWN -7.8% over last year (1,063 from 1,153 in 2015)
Single-Family
  • October single-family home sales DOWN -15.0%
  • Median prices UP +10.8% ($526,300)
  • Single-family inventory DOWN -26.4% to 2,769
  • Listings added to the market DOWN -16.4% over last year (1,274 from 1,524 in 2015)
Multi-Family
  • October multi-family home sales DOWN -9.0%
  • Median prices UP +8.1% ($616,000)
  • Multi-family inventory DOWN -51.6% over last year (297 from 614 in 2015)
  • Listings added to market DOWN -24.4% over last year (232 from 307 in 2015)

Interested In Specific Neighborhood / Area Real Estate Market Trend Data?

 

October 2016 Boston Real Estate Monthly Indicators Report

Joe Schutt

Committed to representing your interests with the highest level of integrity, I am dedicated to service excellence focused on personal attention and building a solid trust relationship. I listen carefully and make my clients feel comfortable in exploring their full range of real estate options and then encourage them to relax and rely on my expertise to insure that the details run smoothly and efficiently. Google+

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Boston Home Values: DEFINITELY NOT in Bubble Range!!

There are some industry pundits claiming that Boston area residential home values have risen too quickly and that current levels are on the verge of another housing bubble. It is easy to see how this thinking has taken form if we look at a graph of median Boston, Cambridge and Newton, MA single-family home prices from 1999 to today.

Boston Home Values

The graph definitely looks like a rollercoaster ride. And, as prices begin to reach 2005 levels again, it “seems logical” that the next part of the ride would be downhill. However, this graph includes the anomaly of the price bubble and the correction (the housing slowdown).

What If The Bubble + Slowdown Didn’t Occur?

Let’s assume that instead of the rise and fall in home prices that we saw last decade, we just had normal historic appreciation from 1999 to today. According to the 100+ experts that are surveyed for the Home Price Expectation Survey, normal annual appreciation for residential single family homes from 1987 to 1999 was 3.6%. Starting with the median home price in 1999, we added 3.6% to it each year since then. Here is that graph intermixed with the above graph.

Boston Home Values With Historic Appreciation

What this shows us is that, had the bubble and slowdown not occurred and instead we just had normal annual appreciation over this period, prices would actually be greater than they are today.

The Bottom Line

There is no reason for alarm as prices seem to be right in line with where they should be. Many thanks to our friends at KCM Blog for pointing the national trend which I’ve tailored to the Boston real estate market in this post.

Joe Schutt

Committed to representing your interests with the highest level of integrity, I am dedicated to service excellence focused on personal attention and building a solid trust relationship. I listen carefully and make my clients feel comfortable in exploring their full range of real estate options and then encourage them to relax and rely on my expertise to insure that the details run smoothly and efficiently. Google+

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